WNBA
Saturday, October 31 at 08:00 PM EDT
10,000 Sim Trials Run
ATL
Atlanta Dream
Away
30-14
(15-7 Away)
Form
W
W
L
L
W
Projected Final Score
77.8
—
77.3
GSV
Golden State Valkyries
Home
32-12
(17-5 Home)
Form
L
L
W
W
L
- Spread
-
ATL +1.0 (-110)GSV -1.0 (-110)
- Total
-
Posted 142.7 (-110)Simulated 155.1
- Moneyline
-
ATL -105GSV -115
Simulated Outcome Probability
Atlanta Dream
51.5%
Golden State Valkyries
48.5%
+0.3% edge at -105
No edge at -115
Our 10,000 iterations project the Atlanta Dream to win outright in 51.5% of simulated game-runs.
Simulator Cover Probability
Spread
Line: ATL +1.0 / GSV -1.0
ATL covers
(-110)
+0.8% Edge
53.2%
GSV covers
(-110)
46.8%
Total
O/U: 142.7
OVER
(-110)
+29.0% Edge
81.4%
UNDER
(-110)
18.6%
Model Simulation Deciders
- • 🏀 Pace Factor: Both teams combine for a projected pace of 75.1 possessions per 40 minutes.
- • 📈 Offensive/Defensive Ratings: GSV holds an Offensive Rating of 98.4 vs ATL's Defensive Rating of 97.6.
- • 📊 Season Records: GSV is 32-12 (Home: 17-5) vs ATL 30-14 (Away: 15-7).
- • 🔥 Momentum Factors: GSV factor: 0.998 | ATL factor: 1.002 (blending last 5 games + historical H2H).
VegasSims Best Bet & Analysis
Best Bet
Our 10,000 simulations project the Atlanta Dream winning outright in 51.5% of trials. Projected score: ATL 78 - GSV 77.
WNBA Team Efficiency & Splits
📊 Statistical Comparison
Pace: 78.2
Possessions per 40 min
Pace: 79.2
ORtg: 118.6
Offensive Rating
ORtg: 103.3
DRtg: 97.8
Defensive Rating (Lower is Better)
DRtg: 96.8
🎯 Shooting Splits
Field Goal %
40.9% / 44.9%
3-Point %
30.8% / 34.5%
Free Throw %
77.8% / 79.2%
⚡ Simulation scales points per possession using relative Offensive Ratings offset by Opponent Defensive Ratings.
Top Team Performers
Sort by:
Atlanta Dream
Golden State Valkyries
Recent Results History (Last 5 Games)
Atlanta Dream
W
vs Golden State Valkyries
80 - 69
|
Oct 29, 2026
L
@ Golden State Valkyries
55 - 64
|
Oct 26, 2026
L
vs Golden State Valkyries
62 - 67
|
Oct 24, 2026
W
vs Golden State Valkyries
97 - 71
|
Oct 21, 2026
W
@ Golden State Valkyries
79 - 65
|
Oct 19, 2026
Golden State Valkyries
L
@ Atlanta Dream
69 - 80
|
Oct 29, 2026
W
vs Atlanta Dream
64 - 55
|
Oct 26, 2026
W
@ Atlanta Dream
67 - 62
|
Oct 24, 2026
L
@ Atlanta Dream
71 - 97
|
Oct 21, 2026
L
vs Atlanta Dream
65 - 79
|
Oct 19, 2026
Head-to-Head History
Home
Atlanta Dream defeated Golden State Valkyries
80 - 69
|
Oct 29, 2026
Home
Golden State Valkyries defeated Atlanta Dream
64 - 55
|
Oct 26, 2026
Away
Golden State Valkyries defeated Atlanta Dream
67 - 62
|
Oct 24, 2026
Home
Atlanta Dream defeated Golden State Valkyries
97 - 71
|
Oct 21, 2026
Away
Atlanta Dream defeated Golden State Valkyries
79 - 65
|
Oct 19, 2026