VegasSims - 10,000+ Sports Matchup Simulations

NBA Saturday, October 31 at 03:00 PM EDT

10,000 Sim Trials Run

POR

Portland Trail Blazers

Away 3-1 (2-0 Away)

Form

W W W L

Projected Final Score

121.4 — 116.4

UTAH

Home 1-4 (1-3 Home)

Form

L W L L L

Portland Trail Blazers

65.4%

Utah Jazz

34.6%

No edge at N/A

Our 10,000 iterations project the Portland Trail Blazers to win outright in 65.4% of simulated game-runs.

Spread Line: N/A

POR covers (-110) 50.2%

UTAH covers (-110) 49.8%

Total O/U:

OVER (-110) 49.0%

UNDER (-110) 51.0%

• 🏀 Rotation Scoring: POR rotation carries 118.5 pts/game of scoring talent (led by Lillard, Avdija, Holiday) | UTAH rotation carries 115.5 pts/game of scoring talent (led by George, Bailey, Markkanen).
• 🛡️ Team Defense: POR allows 115.6/game | UTAH allows 125.5/game (blended with last season and regressed toward league average).
• 📐 Model Line: POR by 5.0, total 237.9 before the market blend, including 2.2 points of home court.
• 📭 No Market Yet: Graded against the model's own line (UTAH +5.0, total 238.0) until books post this game.
• ❌ Injury: POR - Shaedon Sharpe is Out; his 29.4 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
• ⚠️ Questionable: POR - Ja Morant is Day-To-Day; projected for 60% of his usual 27.9 minutes.
• ⚠️ Questionable: POR - Robert Williams III is Day-To-Day; projected for 60% of his usual 16.9 minutes.
• ⚠️ Questionable: UTAH - Lauri Markkanen is Day-To-Day; projected for 60% of his usual 31.8 minutes.
• ❌ Injury: UTAH - Jaren Jackson Jr. is Out; his 29.1 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
• ❌ Injury: UTAH - Jusuf Nurkic is Out; his 23.6 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.
• ❌ Injury: UTAH - Blake Hinson is Out; his 18.4 minutes are redistributed to the rotation.

Best Bet

Our 10,000 simulations project the Portland Trail Blazers winning in 65.4% of trials. Projected score: POR 121 - UTAH 116.

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